Pubblicazioni

Time Series Forecasting for Energy Management: NCPs vs. LSTM.

CHALLENGE

Comparison of Neural Circuit Policies (NCPs) vs Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) in forecasting time series data on energy production and consumption.

GOALS

• ottimizzazione energie rinnovabili
• bilanciamento della CER
• riduzione degli sprechi di risorse
• massimizzazione del TIP

TEAM

Giulia Palma
Elna Sara Joy Chengalipunath
Antonio Rizzo

Abstract

This paper investigates the effectiveness of Neural Circuit Policies (NCPs) compared to Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks in forecasting time series data for energy production and consumption in the context of predictive maintenance. Utilizing a dataset generated from the energy production and consumption data of a Tuscan company specialized in food refrigeration, we simulate a scenario where the company employs a 60 kWh storage system and calculate the battery charge and discharge policies to assess potential cost reductions and increased self-consumption of produced energy. Our findings demonstrate that NCPs outperform LSTM networks by leveraging underlying physical models, offering superior predictive maintenance solutions for energy consumption and production.

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La nostra piattaforma Sunlink è progettata per abilitare l’Industria 5.0,
facilitando l’ottimizzazione dell’uso delle risorse energetiche e la produzione sostenibile.

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